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BEWARE!! The bad news is that Corona Pandemic is going to prolong till December 2020.  Given the fact that  June 2020 became the highest growth month for Infection; instead of subsidising infection spread weekly @ 15.8%, recovery rate improved but  not enough to curb the spread. New Super Hotspots led by Brazil/Chili and Peru (South America) , India/Pakistan & Bangladesh(Indian Sub continent), Middle East and Africa have emerged with Major hotspots of 19 countries. USA although slowed down but still the weekly infection rate is very high at above 12%. In our report it is overwhelmingly clear now that it will prolong but the issue is along with people, Governments have also become impatient and want to open economic activities at any cost and taking a plunge by opening up. It is very clear from Europe experience that if you strictly follow lockdown then you can have some control on the pandemic and it takes 4-5 months to get a control if you seriously follow lockdown. The second wave is coming in all those countries where there has been major violations of social distancing  including USA where in May-June all cities erupted in protest for 16 days “Black Lives Matter” with  millions of people violating social distancing norm- the effect is seen within days – the highest infection rates back in USA.

Given the prolonged lockdown, severe economic and social crises in the form of  hunger, unrest will be around world over. The most important fact is that international business will be affected and the domestic economy cannot also escape along with high unemployment.  As we mentioned, livelihood of  daily wage earners  which are over 50% of the world populations are at  threat. Due to low demand and prolonged pandemic, Manufacturing, Retails, Tourism, Travels & Transport, Leisure, Aviation, Energy  will continue to be affected  till 2021 significantly and the recovery is long drawn, the recession will be deep and severe.

The effect will be more severe if Indian Subcontinent and Africa/Middle East(at present reported infection is only less than 0.01% of the population) get infected in the same manner America, Europe and South America got  affected (0.8% of the Population).    We are hoping that few medicine  would start showing remedial effect and by the year-end a vaccine will be there. Secondly, we hope  health systems are now slightly  better equipped. We think that the economic crises phase has commenced.

We are tracking monthly to understand the trend of the effect on humanity, society and economy.  We are trying to project the endgame which appears to be difficult but will provide guidance to the   the Society, Commercial Organization, Government and Individual so that a proper survival strategy to come out of financial and psychological effect can be drawn. We are simply basing our facts on figures as published without adding any color but our interpretation may differ with yours, so read it cautiously and share your comments.  Since now it is clear that  it will prolong further, we shall publish our Dashboard on a monthly basis with more news and views.

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